{"id":19446,"date":"2016-05-20T09:00:09","date_gmt":"2016-05-20T07:00:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gold.fr\/news\/?p=19446"},"modified":"2018-03-26T17:18:45","modified_gmt":"2018-03-26T15:18:45","slug":"marches-des-minutes-fed-plus-faucon-que-prevu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gold.fr\/news\/2016\/05\/20\/marches-des-minutes-fed-plus-faucon-que-prevu\/","title":{"rendered":"March\u00e9s : Des ‘minutes’ FED plus ‘faucon’ que pr\u00e9vu"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"March\u00e9sCertes, l’attentisme \u00e9tait \u00e0 son comble, tout au long de la s\u00e9ance de la veille (mercredi)<\/em>, dans l’expectative des premi\u00e8res ‘minutes<\/em>‘ de la derni\u00e8re r\u00e9union du FOMC<\/strong>. Toutefois, cet attentisme visait essentiellement le catalyseur que repr\u00e9sente le document dans une conjoncture apathique, et non r\u00e9ellement son contenu. <\/span><\/p>\n

Du coup, le ton \u00e9tonnamment ‘faucon<\/em>‘ de ces minutes a cr\u00e9\u00e9 la grande surprise, au sein des march\u00e9s d’investissement<\/a>, semant incertitudes, craintes et volatilit\u00e9, sur son sillage.<\/span> La nervosit\u00e9 \u00e9tait d\u00e9j\u00e0 palpable, quelques heures avant la publication du document, sur fond de march\u00e9s domin\u00e9s par la m\u00e9fiance des op\u00e9rateurs et leur refus de prendre position, une tendance<\/a> qui r\u00e8gne depuis le d\u00e9but de la semaine. <\/span><\/p>\n

Pourtant, certains observateurs avaient vaguement pr\u00e9vu ce changement de ton, sur la base des d\u00e9clarations de Dennis Lockhart<\/strong> (FED d’Atlanta)<\/em> et de John Williams<\/strong> (Fed de San Francisco)<\/em>, tous deux en faveur d’un sc\u00e9nario incluant deux \u00e0 trois hausses des taux, durant le courant de l’ann\u00e9e 2016 seule. Du coup, les analystes d’Aurel BGC<\/strong> en concluaient qu’il \u00ab y a clairement une volont\u00e9 concert\u00e9e des membres du FOMC pour \u00ab\u00a0ancrer\u00a0\u00bb les anticipations d’une hausse prochaine des taux directeurs<\/em> \u00bb. Le bureau d’\u00e9tudes attirait \u00e9galement l’attention au fait que \u00ab la volatilit\u00e9 s’est accrue sur toutes les classes d’actifs, mettant en \u00e9vidence un changement structurel vers un environnement de forte volatilit\u00e9<\/em> \u00bb.<\/span> Nous savions d\u00e9j\u00e0 que la derni\u00e8re r\u00e9union du comit\u00e9 de direction de la politique mon\u00e9taire FED<\/strong> (d\u00e9roul\u00e9e le 26 et 27 avril)<\/em> n’avait pas donn\u00e9 lieu \u00e0 un quelconque changement de la strat\u00e9gie de la maison, et plus sp\u00e9cifiquement, \u00e0 un rel\u00e8vement de ses principaux taux d’int\u00e9r\u00eat. Mais les ‘minutes<\/em>‘ du meeting r\u00e9v\u00e8lent aujourd’hui que les membres du comit\u00e9 avait estim\u00e9, lors de cette r\u00e9union, \u00ab qu’une hausse en juin \u00e9tait probable, si les donn\u00e9es macro-\u00e9conomiques continuaient de pointer vers une croissance mod\u00e9r\u00e9e de l’\u00e9conomie am\u00e9ricaine<\/em> \u00bb.<\/span><\/p>\n

La publication du document a provoqu\u00e9 un revirement d’humeur et de tendance<\/a>, au niveau des indices boursiers (notamment am\u00e9ricains)<\/em> qui ont vir\u00e9 ‘rouge<\/em>‘, apr\u00e8s un d\u00e9but de semaine relativement stabilis\u00e9 dans le vert. Et bien que bon nombre de ces indices aient progressivement r\u00e9ussi \u00e0 redresser la barre, les r\u00e9percussions de ce catalyseur continuent \u00e0 menacer la pr\u00e9carit\u00e9 de cet \u00e9quilibre. Parall\u00e8lement \u00e0 ce facteur baissier majeur, les analystes citent \u00e9galement une liste de facteurs de risque conjoncturels incluant \u00ab la possibilit\u00e9 d’un atterrissage brutal en Chine, l’endettement excessif des entreprises am\u00e9ricaines et des pays \u00e9mergents, le risque politique en Europe et une valorisation (\u2026) excessive pour les march\u00e9s d’actions<\/a><\/em> \u00bb.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Certes, l’attentisme \u00e9tait \u00e0 son comble, tout au long de la s\u00e9ance de la veille (mercredi), dans l’expectative des premi\u00e8res ‘minutes‘ de la derni\u00e8re r\u00e9union du FOMC. Toutefois, cet attentisme visait essentiellement le catalyseur que repr\u00e9sente […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":18,"featured_media":2404,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mbp_gutenberg_autopost":false,"_pgmb_is_evergreen":false,"_pgmb_ap_template_id":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[2163,2262,940,2258,2263,2031,2120],"ppma_author":[2565],"class_list":["post-19446","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articles-de-presse","tag-aurel-bgc","tag-dennis-lockhart","tag-economie-americaine","tag-faucon","tag-john-williams","tag-minutes-fed","tag-reunion-fomc"],"yoast_head":"\nMarch\u00e9s : Des 'minutes' FED plus 'faucon' que pr\u00e9vu - Gold.fr<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.gold.fr\/news\/2016\/05\/20\/marches-des-minutes-fed-plus-faucon-que-prevu\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"March\u00e9s : Des 'minutes' FED plus 'faucon' que pr\u00e9vu - Gold.fr\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Certes, l’attentisme \u00e9tait \u00e0 son comble, tout au long de la s\u00e9ance de la veille (mercredi), dans l’expectative des premi\u00e8res ‘minutes‘ de la derni\u00e8re r\u00e9union du FOMC. 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