{"id":1775,"date":"2011-06-30T07:55:47","date_gmt":"2011-06-30T05:55:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gold.fr\/informations-sur-l-or\/analyses-economiques\/or-et-inflation"},"modified":"2021-01-14T14:27:09","modified_gmt":"2021-01-14T13:27:09","slug":"or-et-inflation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gold.fr\/news\/2011\/06\/30\/or-et-inflation\/","title":{"rendered":"Or et Inflation"},"content":{"rendered":"

Au c\u0153ur m\u00eame d'une crise \u00e9conomique et financi\u00e8re qui secoue fortement le monde depuis quelques mois, et plus particuli\u00e8rement depuis quelques semaines, les inqui\u00e9tudes majeures des investisseurs sont focalis\u00e9es sur la dette qui s'amasse pour beaucoup de pays industrialis\u00e9s. Avec le record atteint r\u00e9cemment par le total de ces dettes, la quasi impossibilit\u00e9 d'une quelconque reprise durable, et un autre record atteint \u2013cette fois ci \u00e0 la hausse- par l'or<\/a>, il semblerait que le m\u00e9tal jaune<\/a> puise encore sa force dans le moindre signe d'agonie de l'\u00e9conomie.<\/em><\/p>

Inflation et crise : Un cercle infernal<\/h2>

Sans un minimum d'inflation, pas de reprise. Mais la crise semble empirer lorsque l'inflation d\u00e9passe un certain seuil. Un tableau bien sombre. L'inflation est la cons\u00e9quence directe de la mise en circulation importante de monnaie dans le but d'augmenter \u00ab artificiellement \u00bb la consommation, et de rembourser tout ou partie des dettes accumul\u00e9es avec le temps. Une inflation est donc n\u00e9cessaire \u00e0 la survie de l'\u00e9conomie mondiale mais doit \u00eatre maitris\u00e9e<\/strong> ( la BCE estime que ce taux ne doit pas d\u00e9passer 2%)<\/p>

R\u00e9sultat de cet \u00e9tat d\u00e9solant des lieux ; les march\u00e9s financiers sont de plus en plus m\u00e9fiants et tr\u00e8s peu de valeurs sont encore consid\u00e9r\u00e9es comme fiables<\/strong> ou vous seront recommand\u00e9es par les experts comme \u00e9tant LES valeurs sur lesquelles il serait avis\u00e9 d'investir.<\/p>

C'est ainsi que les investisseurs se tournent automatiquement vers ce qu'ils con\u00e7oivent comme une valeur refuge, peu importe la p\u00e9riode, la conjoncture ou l'importance de la crise ; l'or<\/a>. Dans les temps de crainte et de doute, les investissements tendent \u00e0 \u00e9viter les devises trop volatiles et peu fiables au profit de la vraie source de s\u00e9curit\u00e9.<\/strong><\/p>

Inflation et or<\/a> : Quel rapport?<\/h2>

L'id\u00e9e est assez simple ; en p\u00e9riode d'inflation, la production de monnaie progresse sensiblement, engendrant pourtant un effondrement des cours sur le march\u00e9 des changes <\/strong>(ce que les professionnels nomment \u00ab Forex \u00bb).<\/p>

Ainsi, l'or<\/a>, dont la valeur a la chance de ne pas d\u00e9pendre d'une quelconque devise mais simplement de l'offre et de la demande, n'est pas alt\u00e9r\u00e9 par les fluctuations du march\u00e9 de change et devient donc LE march\u00e9-refuge<\/strong>.<\/p>
\"\"<\/td> <\/tr> <\/tbody> <\/table>

C'est la raison pour laquelle les transactions d'or<\/a> deviennent massives en temps d'inflation<\/strong>, puisque les investisseurs d\u00e9sirent ainsi saisir la belle opportunit\u00e9 qui ne manquera pas de se pr\u00e9senter. Et, logiquement, l'\u00e9volution des achats d'or<\/a> sur les march\u00e9s boursiers engendre automatiquement une \u00e9volution assez forte de la valeur de l'or<\/a>.<\/strong><\/p>

Donc, plus les risques d'inflation sont importants, plus il devient pertinent d'investir dans l'or<\/a>. Un investissement s\u00fbr (le cours de l'or<\/a> baisse tr\u00e8s rarement de fa\u00e7on significative) et plus rentable que les autres formes d'investissement puisque sa valeur est susceptible de doubler (m\u00eame tripler) en l'espace de quelques ann\u00e9es.<\/p>

Pourquoi l'or<\/a> est-il une valeur refuge ?<\/h2>

Notons d\u00e9j\u00e0 que, dans un contexte historique g\u00e9n\u00e9ral, l'or<\/a> a toujours maintenu son statut de valeur-refuge. Un rapide coup d'\u0153il vaguement analytique sur les cours historiques nous permet de constater que le cours de l'or<\/a> a tendance \u00e0 monter en fl\u00e8che en p\u00e9riode de crise. Il y a donc forc\u00e9ment un rapport direct entre le prix du pr\u00e9cieux m\u00e9tal jaune<\/a> et le niveau d'inflation international.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Au c\u0153ur m\u00eame d\u2019une crise \u00e9conomique et financi\u00e8re qui secoue fortement le monde depuis quelques mois, et plus particuli\u00e8rement depuis quelques semaines, les inqui\u00e9tudes majeures des investisseurs sont focalis\u00e9es sur la dette qui s\u2019amasse pou…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":996,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mbp_gutenberg_autopost":false,"_pgmb_is_evergreen":false,"_pgmb_ap_template_id":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[116,76,1095],"ppma_author":[2567],"class_list":["post-1775","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analyses-economiques","tag-inflation","tag-or","tag-or-et-inflation"],"yoast_head":"\nOr et Inflation - Gold.fr<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Or et Inflation Un cercle infernal entre Inflation et crise Sans un minimum d'inflation, pas de reprise Evolution Prix Or Cours March\u00e9\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.gold.fr\/news\/2011\/06\/30\/or-et-inflation\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Or et Inflation - 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